Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004715 0.005337 0.006045 0.006920 0.007981 0.009242 0.010873
2025-12-07 0.003756 0.004507 0.005438 0.006702 0.008417 0.010728 0.014202
2025-12-14 0.003245 0.004045 0.005094 0.006617 0.008857 0.012188 0.017861
2025-12-21 0.002985 0.003841 0.005018 0.006832 0.009704 0.014397 0.023487
2025-12-28 0.002817 0.003727 0.005033 0.007154 0.010761 0.017231 0.031607
2026-01-04 0.002624 0.003547 0.004917 0.007241 0.011429 0.019585 0.040174
2026-01-11 0.002431 0.003343 0.004734 0.007177 0.011804 0.021480 0.049002
2026-01-18 0.002286 0.003194 0.004614 0.007195 0.012329 0.023881 0.061304
2026-01-25 0.002127 0.003009 0.004414 0.007037 0.012459 0.025415 0.072442
2026-02-01 0.001962 0.002799 0.004152 0.006726 0.012202 0.025898 0.080340
2026-02-08 0.001813 0.002605 0.003900 0.006402 0.011855 0.026037 0.087197
2026-02-15 0.001738 0.002525 0.003836 0.006435 0.012326 0.028686 0.110235
2026-02-22 0.001636 0.002402 0.003698 0.006328 0.012514 0.030821 0.136972
2026-03-01 0.001531 0.002267 0.003528 0.006139 0.012473 0.032286 0.164680
2026-03-08 0.001453 0.002170 0.003420 0.006064 0.012709 0.034896 0.212599
2026-03-15 0.001416 0.002143 0.003434 0.006253 0.013713 0.041179 0.340436
2026-03-22 0.001393 0.002136 0.003488 0.006539 0.015088 0.050431 0.646608
2026-03-29 0.001348 0.002087 0.003453 0.006615 0.015866 0.057787 1.143449
2026-04-05 0.001292 0.002016 0.003369 0.006558 0.016208 0.063273 1.920178
2026-04-12 0.001249 0.001963 0.003316 0.006575 0.016810 0.071234 4.110256
2026-04-19 0.001193 0.001885 0.003208 0.006435 0.016824 0.075423 7.737989
2026-04-26 0.001129 0.001788 0.003054 0.006160 0.016284 0.075089 10.953610
2026-05-03 0.001068 0.001694 0.002900 0.005873 0.015643 0.073568 14.220254